Employment Projections
Publications
Long-term Projections includes industry and occupational employment projections for Ohio, the regions of the JobsOhio Network, and eight Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA).
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Occupational Projections
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Industry Projections | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio to 2032 | JobsOhio Regions to 2032 | MSAs to 2032 | Ohio to 2032 | JobsOhio Regions to 2032 | MSAs to 2032 |
| Occupational Tables | Central Ohio | Akron | Industry Tables | Central Ohio | Akron |
| Ohio Job Outlook Report | Northeast Ohio | Canton | Northeast Ohio | Canton | |
| Education and Training | Northwest Ohio | Cincinnati* | Northwest Ohio | Cincinnati* | |
| Southeast Ohio | Cleveland | Southeast Ohio | Cleveland | ||
| Southwest Ohio* | Columbus | Southwest Ohio* | Columbus | ||
| West Ohio | Dayton | West Ohio | Dayton | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | ||||
| Youngstown | Youngstown | ||||
Ohio Leading Economic Indicators
The Ohio Leading Indicators report uses an annualized growth rate to forecast employment growth for Ohio and its eight largest MSAs for the next six months. The model examines seasonally adjusted total nonfarm employment. These data are seasonally adjusted by the leading indicators model and should not be compared to other seasonally adjusted data.
Tools & Resources
Industry Employment Projections
Occupational Employment Projections
Users can obtain industry and occupational employment projections for Ohio, the eight largest MSAs, and six JobsOhio regions.
Occupational Employment Projections
Explore Ohio's Employment Projections through 2032, including projected employment, annual openings, education requirements, and median wages. Data can be viewed for Ohio and select substate areas.
Details & Definitions
Employment Projections are used primarily for planning education & training programs and for career counseling.
Projections are developed from a variety of data sources, including:
- U.S. Department of Labor's Current Population Survey for labor force data.
- Current Employment Statistics (CES), a federal-state program that gathers data on employment and earnings in goods-producing and service-providing industries in Ohio and selected metropolitan areas.
- Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW), a federal-state program that summarizes employment, wage, and contribution data from employers subject to state unemployment laws, as well as workers covered by unemployment compensation for federal employees.
- The Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS), a federal-state program that provides occupational employment and wage data for wage and salary workers in nonfarm establishments. All industries are surveyed except private households, agricultural production, forestry, fishing, the military, self-employed, and unpaid family workers.
- National projections are developed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Note: Projections of occupational growth for all states and the nation as a whole are available at https://projectionscentral.org/.
- Industry projections use the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
- Occupational projections use categories defined in the Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS) program and use Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) codes.
Workforce Research produces annual short-term (two-year) industry and occupational employment projections at the statewide level and long-term (10-year) industry and occupational employment projections for the state, the eight largest MSAs, and six JobsOhio regions.
The frequency varies with each product:
- Short-Term Projections, annually
- Long-Term Projections, biennially
- Occupational Trends Pamphlet, biennially
- Leading Economic Indicators, monthly.
Projections are available for Ohio, six regions of the JobsOhio Network, and eight large Metropolitan Statistical Areas.
For MSAs that span multiple states, Employment Projections include only the counties located in Ohio.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment projections are a projection and not a forecast. Projections use a set of assumptions to determine long-term underlying trends, whereas forecasts focus on predicting actual outcomes in the near term. The assumptions that guide BLS projections are designed to provide a neutral backdrop so that a focused analysis of the long-term trends can take place. For example, BLS does not forecast business cycle activity but rather is concerned with the long-term growth path of the aggregate economy. Because the purpose of a forecast is prediction, the forecast user will be interested in the actual forecast values. A projection, however, supplies the user with a plausible scenario to help understand the ramifications of the long-term trends.
As with all forecasts and projections, labor market projections are subject to error, especially if events negate underlying assumptions. Generally, relative error increases with smaller industries, occupations and areas.